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Recently, on February 21, 2025, the Ministry of Industry and Trade issued a decision to apply a temporary anti dumping duty on some hot - rolled coil (HRC) products imported from China. The range of relevant duty rates is 19.38% to 27.83%.For a more thorough analysis of the situation, read the article from MRS Steel below. an anti-dumping duty on Chinese HRCBackground and causes of the incidentItems under investigation: Hot-rolled coil HS Code: 7208.25.00, 7208.26.00, 7208.27.19, 7208.27.99, 7208.36.00, 7208.37.00, 7208.38.00, 7208.39.20, 7208.39.40, 7208.39.90, 7208.51.00, 7208.52.00, 7208.53.00, 7208.54.90, 7208.90.90, 7211.14.15, 7211.14.16, 7211.14.19, 7211.19.13, 7211.19.19, 7211.90.12, 7211.90.19, 7225.30.90, 7225.40.90, 7225.99.90, 7226.91.10, 7226.91.90Plaintiff: Hoa Phat Group and Formosa Ha Tinh Steel CorporationPeriod of investigation: 26/7/2024Duty decision date: 21/02/2025Cheap imported steel damages the domestic steel industryDetails of the duty decisionThe duty rates applicable to Chinese enterprises are as follows:Baoshan Iron & Steel, Maanshan Iron & Steel: 27,83%Guangxi Liuzhou Iron and Steel Group: 19,38%.The Ministry of Industry and Trade collaborated with pertinent organizations throughout the inquiry to examine and evaluate the effects of dumping on the domestic manufacturing industry. The agency also investigated the level of dumping by Indian and Chinese exporters. According to the investigation's findings, HRC steel from India is exempt from anti-dumping duty because the country's import rate is so low, less than 3% despite the evidence of dumping. The application period is 120 days from the date of effect, and the provisional anti-dumping duty goes into force 15 days after the decision is made. Following the implementation of interim anti-dumping levies, the Ministry of Industry and Trade will keep collaborating with pertinent stakeholders to gather and validate data. It is believed that a temporary anti-dumping tariff must be implemented in order to shield the domestic steel industry from pressure from low-cost imported steel.The duty takes effect after 15 days and is applicable for 120 daysImpact of this decisionFor domestic steel millsSafeguard domestic steel mills: Enterprises such as Hoa Phat Group and Formosa Ha Tinh Corporation will benefit when cheap steel imports from China are restricted. This helps to reduce unfair competition and promote the development of domestic enterprises.Increasing domestic output: Domestic steel mills are encouraged to invest in increasing output and raising the caliber of their products when the importation of steel products declines. Additionally, growing output lessens reliance on imports, improving steel industry initiative.  

Türkiye announced that it will impose anti-dumping duties on hot-rolled coil imports from four countries: China, India, Russia, and Japan.To better understand the information about the incident, join MRS Steel and learn through the article below.Türkiye imposed anti-dumping duties on HRC import from 4 countriesDetails and developments of the incidentRecently, on October 11, Türkiye announced that it will impose anti-dumping duties on hot-rolled coil imported from China, India, Russia and Japan. Türkiye's action aims to protect its domestic steel industry, as hot-rolled coils are perceived to create unfair competition, causing damage to local enterprises.Türkiye mainly imports steel from countries such as Russia, China and India. Currently, China is the world's largest producer of steel, accounting for more than half the world's output at over a billion tons a year. However, the country's steel industry is facing many challenges and fluctuations as domestic demand continues to decline. This forces China to boost its exports to deal with inventory. Importing too much hot-rolled coil from China risks causing damage to domestic manufacturing enterprises.Changes in trade policy and pressure from anti-dumping measures have also affected the supply and prices of imported steel. Accordingly, the tax rate imposed on each country is different. China has the highest tax rate, ranging from about 15% to 43%, while the tax applied to imports from Russia, India, and Japan ranges from 6% to 9%. Products subject to customs tariffs fall under HS codes 7208, 7211, 7212, 7225, 7226. The new tariffs will affect about 4 million tons of imported steel products worth more than $2 billion. After the Government of Republic of Turkey made the decision, shares of leading Türkiye steel producers such as Erdemir and Isdemir all increased on the stock exchanges. Türkiye made the decision amid growing trade tensions between China and the European Union (EU).China is the country with the highest tax rate 

Brazil recently launched an anti-dumping investigation into pre-painted steel products from China and India, as its actions are believed to be an attempt to protect its domestic steel industry from unfair competition.Join MRS Steel to learn more about the incident by reading the article below.Brazil investigates anti-dumping of pre-painted steel from China and IndiaKey points of the issueCause of the incident: There have been allegations that pre-painted steel imported from China and India is being sold at prices lower than its actual value, putting pressure on domestic manufacturers and threatening the survival of the domestic steel industry.Countermeasures: Brazil’s Foreign Trade Department (SECEX) has received a request and initiated an anti-dumping investigation into pre-painted steel products from China and India. The investigation was requested by domestic steel producers CSN and Tekno Industry and Trade. Accordingly, Brazil steel producers have asked the government to impose tariffs on imported steel products. The total amount of steel and iron imported from China increased from $1.6 billion in 2014 to $2.7 billion last year. According to domestic producers, in the first eight months of this year, Brazil imported more than 148,000 tons from China and over 5,000 tons from India. The large volume of steel imports from China and India has made the business situation of domestic enterprises difficult. Therefore, the Brazilian Federal Government has conducted an investigation and will reach a conclusion regarding the imposition of anti-dumping duties on pre-coated steel products imported from these two countries. This tax is intended to regulate prices and protect the domestic market.Chinese and Indian exporters react: Chinese and Indian manufacturers and governments have protested against the measures, arguing that they are unfair and detrimental to free trade. They may also file complaints with international trade organizations such as the WTO.Impact of the event: With the investigation and the imposition of anti-dumping duties on pre-painted steel products from the world's two largest steel-producing countries, China and India, this could escalate trade tensions between these countries and Brazil, affecting global steel prices and supplies.The surge in steel imports is a particularly challenging problem for the Federal government of Brazil. Brazil’s measures come as the world braces for an increase in exports from China, as the world’s largest steel industry struggles with excess capacity amid a slowing real estate sector and weak domestic demand.Imported galvanized steel products are considered unfair competition to domestic products  

The Indian government will need to carefully consider the interests of all stakeholders before making a final decision on imposing anti-dumping duties on HRC steel imports.The recent anti-dumping investigation into HRC imports has been met with strong opposition from the Indian steel user community. They fear that the imposition of such duties could lead to higher steel prices, negatively impacting industries that depend on steel, such as automotive parts, agricultural tools,...Balancing trade protection and steel user interests in India's HRC probeAccording to Upkar Singh Ahuja, President of the Chamber of Industrial and Commercial Undertakings (CICU) in Punjab, "We do not want anti-dumping duties applied." He argues that imposing these duties would create a financial burden on SMEs, raising input costs and reducing their competitiveness. Some industrialists oppose the anti-dumping duties on HRC, concerned that large steel corporations in India might gain monopolistic control over the market by raising prices unreasonably.Akash Bassi, Vice President of CICU, also emphasized that anti-dumping measures could hinder free trade, create trade conflicts and disrupt supply chains. Other industry representatives, such as Honey Sethi and Rajnish Ahuja, also noted that the steel industry is currently profitable, the additional duties are unnecessary and could threaten the sustainability of SMEs.India's anti-dumping investigation into HRC imports is generating mixed opinions within the industry. While some large producers support the duties to protect their interests, many SMEs are concerned that this will increase production costs, reduce competitiveness and harm the local economy. The Indian government will need to carefully weigh the interests of all parties involved before making a final decision on imposing these anti-dumping duties.

India's target to double its steel production capacity to 300 million tons by 2030 may face difficulties due to recent restrictions on scrap steel exports by the European Union. This move could directly disrupt the Indian steel industry as the country hasn't developed a strong recycling industry and relies heavily on imported scrap steel for production.The production capacity of Indian steel industry facing limitations by shortage of scrap steel supplyIndia is currently the world's second-largest producer of crude steel after China, with 124.7 million tons of crude steel in 2022. In a conference in February 2023, the Indian government set the target of increasing steel production capacity to 300 million tons by 2030. "The current 15% scrap usage will increase to nearly 25% within the next 5 years, meaning that the proportion of scrap used in steel production will increase to 50%," as stated by the Indian Steel Minister in the MRAI Material Recycling Conference 2023.Analysts predict that India's ambitious production growth target will lead to a significant demand for scrap materials. Specifically, by 2030, the demand for scrap materials is projected to reach 65 million tons per year, while the domestic scrap supply at that time is only 59 million tons per year. This raw material shortage will force the Indian steel industry to rely more on imported scrap materials to fill the gap.Forecast chart of India's scrap steel consumption demand until 2030Therefore, in 2021, the government attempted to expand the scrap steel industry by utilizing vehicles. Specifically, vehicles over 20 years old had to undergo emissions tests, and if they failed, they were recommended for disposal and used as a source of scrap steel for the manufacturing industry. Implementing the policy of collecting scrap steel from vehicles could provide the steel industry with an average of 6 million tons per year. While the policy may address recycling supply needs, in the long term, it has not achieved effectiveness because most recycling infrastructure in India is still in its early stages, and there are still very few old vehicles available for disposal.The new challenge comes from the import of scrap steelTo enhance the supply of scrap steel for production, the current import plan is considered the most feasible approach while the number of steel recycling plants in the country is being limited. In 2022 alone, India spent over 12 billion USD on importing metal scrap, and within the next 5 to 6 years, India is expected to become the world's largest importer of scrap steel, with imports reaching approximately 20 million tons by 2030. Currently, India is ranked as the second-largest scrap steel importer in the European Union, as well as in the United States, Asia, and the Middle East.Top Indian exporting scrap steel countries in the first 6 months of 2023However, India's ambitious import plan to expand steel production is facing several challenges. The European Union, a significant market for supplying scrap steel to India, is considering imposing restrictions on the export of metal scrap to reduce emissions and protect the environment. Additionally, major scrap steel exporters like the United States, Asia, and the Middle East are also contemplating export restrictions to preserve this valuable resource. Import barriers for scrap steel have hindered the Indian steel industry’s target to double its steel production capacity, forcing steel producers to search for alternative supply sources.The Indian steel industry is confronted with numerous challenges in addressing the scrap steel supply issue due to strict scrap steel export policies from the European Union. Nevertheless, the country is working on improving its recycling capacity by building a series of steel recycling plants starting in 2021. Although there are still many obstacles to increasing production capacity, India continues to seek new opportunities to expand its steel industry.In recent years, trade relations between Vietnam and India have been strengthening, particularly in the steel sector. India is considered a potential export market for Vietnam, with increasing demand for scrap steel and hot-rolled coils (HRC). In the first 9 months of 2023, India unexpectedly became the second-largest importer of HRC from Vietnam, with a production volume exceeding 386,000 tons. Based on infrastructure construction needs and the ambition to secure raw materials for production from India, the Vietnamese steel industry expects to expand its export market in the future, especially with HRC being one of its key products.

Europe, with its well-developed steel industry and strong potential, is confidently anticipating a surge in the price of hot rolled coil in the final months of the year. Positive indicators and specific factors have created an ideal situation for steel price increases and mark the recovery of the steel industry after a challenging period.HRC price in EuropeBetween October 13th and October 20th, 2023, the price of hot rolled coil in Western Europe decreased by €10 per ton compared to the previous week, reaching a range of €610-€630 per ton. This price decrease started at the beginning of October, with a €50 per ton drop on September 29th, equivalent to 7.3%. Meanwhile, the Italian market also experienced a similar price reduction, with hot rolled coil prices dropping by €10 per ton compared to the previous week and €20 per ton compared to the end of September. The price difference between Western and Southern Europe has narrowed, and the market is facing pressure from low-cost imported hot rolled coil.Service centers and distributors are currently experiencing low sales volumes due to reduced consumer demand. The significant volume of imports from Asia and India continues to put pressure on the market, and the European automotive industry is going through a slump, significantly impacting the purchase of hot rolled coil. Some steel companies are temporarily halting operations to balance supply and demand and prevent further price declines.Despite the weak market conditions, European steel producers are reducing production capacity to maintain balance, and it is anticipated that the market may face a supply shortage in November and December, potentially leading to an increase in hot rolled coil prices.HRC prices in other marketsIn the hot rolled coil steel market, prices in major countries like the United States, China, and India have experienced notable fluctuations. In the United States, hot rolled coil prices have been trending upwards from $680-700 USD per ton to $692-720 USD per ton. This is the result of factors such as trade policies, regulations on steel imports, and domestic industry protection measures. However, prices can still vary due to factors like supply and demand in the construction and manufacturing sectors.In China, one of the largest players in the global steel market, hot rolled coil prices have remained relatively stable recently. Additionally, China's steel production policies and output can impact both domestic and export steel prices. Factors like production restrictions or policy changes may not significantly alter prices in the short term.In India, hot rolled coil steel prices are often influenced by domestic supply and demand as well as imports. Currently, hot rolled coil prices in India are stable, and economic growth and infrastructure development are creating increased demand for steel. However, factors such as trade policies and anti-dumping measures can influence steel prices in the near future.